Nov 22, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OTTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Nov, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane OTTO is currently located near 10.5 N 79.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). OTTO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Panama
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Nicaragua
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Costa Rica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    El Porvenir (9.5 N, 79.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    San Andres (12.6 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Bluefields (12.0 N, 83.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 33 hours
    San Jose (9.9 N, 84.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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