Nov 24, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OTTO

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Nov, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane OTTO is currently located near 11.2 N 82.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). OTTO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OTTO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Nicaragua
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Costa Rica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bluefields (12.0 N, 83.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Liberia (10.6 N, 85.4 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    San Jose (9.9 N, 84.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Rivas (11.4 N, 85.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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