May 30, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm MORA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 30 May, 2017 0:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm MORA is currently located near 21.0 N 91.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). MORA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MORA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myanmar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Comilla (23.4 N, 91.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Sittwe (20.1 N, 93.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Shillong (25.6 N, 91.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Dhaka (23.7 N, 90.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Dispur (26.1 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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