May 28, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWO

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 28 May, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWO is currently located near 15.8 N 91.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Bangladesh
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Myanmar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cox's Bazar (21.4 N, 92.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Sittwe (20.1 N, 93.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Kyaukpyu (19.4 N, 93.6 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Cheduba (18.8 N, 93.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Chittagong (22.3 N, 91.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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