Jul 3, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NANMADOL

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 3 Jul, 2017 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NANMADOL is currently located near 31.4 N 127.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NANMADOL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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