Jul 29, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NESAT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 24.6 N 121.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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