NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jul, 2017 12:00 GMT

**Typhoon NESAT is currently located near 21.3 N 124.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NESAT is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NESAT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):**

**Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)**

Taiwan

probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours

probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

China

probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours

probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours

probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)

probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)

probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)

probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)

probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)

probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)

probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)

probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)

probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.