Aug 7, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NORU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Aug, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NORU is currently located near 34.9 N 136.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). NORU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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