Aug 2, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NORU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Aug, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NORU is currently located near 26.2 N 135.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). NORU is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NORU is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.


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