Oct 21, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LAN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 21 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon LAN is currently located near 21.4 N 131.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). LAN is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).


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