Jan 28, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm EIGHT

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jan, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm EIGHT is currently located near 17.9 S 161.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). EIGHT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    New Zealand
        probability for TS is 90% in about 96 hours
    Norfolk Island
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Greymouth (42.5 S, 171.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 96 hours
    Christchurch (43.5 S, 172.6 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 96 hours
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Wellington (41.3 S, 174.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
    New Plymouth (39.1 S, 174.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
    Dunedin (45.9 S, 170.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 96 hours
    Hamilton (37.8 S, 175.3 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Invercargill (46.4 S, 168.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Auckland (36.9 S, 174.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Hastings (39.6 S, 176.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).


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