NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Feb, 2018 0:00 GMT

**Tropical Storm TWO is currently located near 7.0 N 135.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):**

**Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)**

the Philippines

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours

probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours

probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours

probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)

probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)

probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)

probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours

probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).