Feb 11, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Feb, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWO is currently located near 7.0 N 135.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). TWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koror (7.3 N, 134.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Lianga (8.7 N, 126.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Dumaguete (9.3 N, 123.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Bislig (8.2 N, 126.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Dipolog (8.7 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Pagadian (7.9 N, 123.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).


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