SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Feb, 2018 18:00 GMT

**Very Intense TC GITA is currently located near 21.3 S 177.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). GITA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GITA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):**

**Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)**

Fiji

probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours

probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

New Caledonia

probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours

probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Vanuatu

probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Norfolk Island

probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)

probability for TS is 60% currently

Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)

probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours

probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours

probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours

Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours

probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).