Feb 12, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC GITA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Feb, 2018 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC GITA is currently located near 21.3 S 177.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). GITA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GITA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Norfolk Island
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Kingston (29.1 S, 168.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).


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