S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Mar, 2018 12:00 GMT

**Tropical Storm DUMAZILE is currently located near 15.3 S 52.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). DUMAZILE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):**

**Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)**

Madagascar

probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Reunion

probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours

probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours

Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)

probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours

probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)

probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)

probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours

probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours

St Pierre (21.3 S, 55.5 E)

probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours

Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)

probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)

probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)

probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).