S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2018 12:00 GMT

**Tropical Storm ELIAKIM is currently located near 15.8 S 50.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELIAKIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):**

**Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)**

Madagascar

probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)

Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)

probability for TS is 100% currently

Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)

probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)

probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)

probability for TS is 70% currently

Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)

probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)

probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours

Farafangana (22.8 S, 47.8 E)

probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours

Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)

probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)

probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)

probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Fianarantsoa (21.5 S, 47.1 E)

probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that

Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.

CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.

TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).