Mar 22, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm SIXTEEN

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Mar, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm SIXTEEN is currently located near 10.1 S 136.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SIXTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Indonesia
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Papua New Guinea
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kladar (8.3 S, 137.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Weipa (12.6 S, 142.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Edward River (15.0 S, 141.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Merauke (8.5 S, 140.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Burketown (17.7 S, 139.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Kowanyama (15.8 S, 141.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Normanton (17.8 S, 141.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).


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