Jul 10, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MARIA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Jul, 2018 18:00 GMT

Typhoon MARIA is currently located near 26.2 N 122.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). MARIA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MARIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Quzhou (29.0 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Nanchang (28.7 N, 115.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Wuhan (30.6 N, 114.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).


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